Risk and Environmental Modelling

Sections

• About Jan Maarten van Noortwijk
• About the event
• Scientific committee
• Proceedings
• Program
• Travel and accommodation

Jan Maarten van Noortwijk (November 16, 1961 – September 16, 2008)

• Jan's personal website
• In April 2009, the journal Structure and Infrastructure Engineering published an In Memoriam for Jan van Noortwijk. A preprint is available here.

Introduction

Professor Jan M. van Noortwijk passed away on September 16th, 2008. The Delft University of Technology and HKV Consultants would like to take this opportunity to pay tribute to Jan's tremendous work in bridging mathematics with problems in civil engineering. We are organising a one-day symposium, to be held in Delft in the Netherlands, during which the latest research advancements and results are to be presented and discussed.

The symposium precedes the 7th International Probabilistic Workshop on November 25 and 26, which is a joint organisation of the Delft University of Technology (Section of Hydraulic Engineering at the faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences) in Delft and the University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences (Department of Civil Engineering and Natural Hazards) in Vienna. 

Location

The symposium will be held in Delft, the Netherlands. See also the section "Travel and accomodation" below.

Registration

Participation is free of charge and you may register by sending a request to one of the organizers below. Please mention your full name, your affiliation, country of residence and e-mail address when sending us a request for registration.

Organizers and Editors

Dr. Maarten-Jan Kallen HKV Consultants 2628 CD Delft 8203 AC Lelystad This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it	Ir. Sebastian Kuniewski Delft University of Technology Mekelweg 4 P.O. Box 2120 This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it

Supporting organizations

The organization of the symposium has also been made possible by the following supporting organizations:

• Netherlands Organization for Applied Scientific Research (TNO)
• Centre for Public Works (Rijkswaterstaat Dienst Infrastructuur)
• Nederlandse Vereniging voor Risicoanalyse en Bedrijfszekerheid (NVRB)
• Universiteitsfonds Delft
• 7th International Probabilistic Workshop to be held on November 25-26, 2009 in Delft

• Prof. T. Bedford - Glagow, United Kingdom
• Prof. C. Bérenguer - Troyes, France
• Prof. R. Dekker - Rotterdam, Netherlands
• Dr. P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder - Delft, Netherlands
• Prof. A. Grall - Troyes, France
• Dr. M. Kok - Lelystad, Netherlands
• Prof. T.A. Mazzuchi - Washington D.C., USA
• Dr. R.P. Nicolai - Lelystad, the Netherlands
• Prof. M. Newby - London, United Kingdom
• Dr. J.A.M. van der Weide - Delft, Netherlands

The scientific contributions by the speakers will appear in a book published by Delft University Press, an imprint of IOS Press (http://www.iospress.nl). The book will be presented to the participants on the day of the symposium and can soon be ordered from the publisher's website.

     The following is a preliminary program for the symposium on Tuesday November 24, 2009 and may be subject to change:

• 08:00 Registration: TNO in Delft (Brassersplein 2, 2612 CT Delft, the Netherlands; see Google Maps here)
• 08:50 Opening by chairman Prof. Roger M. Cooke and introduction to the book by Dr. Maarten-Jan Kallen
• 09:10 Session 1 (3 presentations)
  1. Posterior predictions on river discharges
     by de Waal
  2. Finding proper non-informative priors for regression coefficients
     by van Erp & van Gelder 
  3. On some elicitation procedures for distributions with bounded support - with applications in PERT
     by van Dorp  
• 10:40 Coffee break (20 mins.)
• 11:00 Session 2 (3 presentations)
  1. The lessons of New Orleans
     by Vrijling  
  2. Relative material loss: a maintenance inspection methodology for approximating material loss on in-service marine structures
     by Ernsting, Mazzuchi & Sarkani
  3. Multi-criteria optimization of life-cycle performance of structural systems under uncertainty
     by Frangopol & Okasha
• 12:30 Lunch (40 mins.)
• 13:10 Session 3 (4 presentations)
  1. Model of Lifetime-Extending Maintenance: a presentation originally given at the Structural Faults + Repair conference in 1999 by Bakker
  2. Nonparametric predictive system reliability with all subsystems consisting of one type of componenten
     by Coolen, Aboalkhair & MacPhee  
  3. Model based control at WWTP Westpoort
     by Korving, de Niet, Koenders & Neef
  4. Modelling track geometry by a bivariate Gamma wear process, with application to maintenance 
     by Mercier, Meier-Hirmer & Roussignol
• 15:10 Coffee break (20 mins.)
• 15:30 Session 4 (3 presentations)
  1. An adaptive condition-based maintenance policy with environmental factors
     by Deloux, Castanier & Bérenguer
  2. Derivation of a finite time expected cost model for a condition-based maintenance program
     by Pandey & Cheng
  3. A discussion about historical developments in stochastic modeling of wear
     by van der Weide & Pandey
• 17:00 Closing ceremony

The symposium will be held in a building of TNO in Delft (Brassersplein 2, 2612 CT Delft, the Netherlands; see Google Maps for the exact location: here). This building is approximately 2km outside the city center.

We are not offering special rates at any hotels in Delft. You may book a hotel in the center of Delft here. The closest hotel to the symposium is the Hotel Campanile in Delft (see the link). We will most likely arrange some form of transportation on the day of the symposium from the city center in Delft to the TNO building.

Delft is easily accessible by train. If you are flying into the Netherlands than you should fly to Schiphol International Airport or Rotterdam Airport. For train schedules, see the website of the Dutch national railways: http://www.ns.nl/. For information on Schiphol Airport, see http://www.schiphol.nl/.